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Woodams Clark's avatar

Yeah this inflation data is concerning. I do feel like the Fed is giving this vague story of “we want to cut rates” and the market is buying into it and look for any data that promotes rate cuts.

It’s great used car sales are down, but energy controls inflation for…everything that needs transport.

I’m half expecting next CPI to show an uptick and market will wildly react thinking it’s an inflation trend reversal. But it’s always still been going up, just sandbagged by used cars.

I think that’s what I consider the major risk is for these geopolitical events. Risk to energy costs or another import/export slowdown (blocked ports?) would give a timid market a readjustment.

I’ve kept some puts out to September. I don’t feel like they’re going to pay out, but they make me more comfortable to trade now.

Torn on NVIDIA. I think it’ll shoot up, but Idk if I can stomach the risk of 4K on 1 call

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